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School district financial risk analysis

December 2021

Spending analysis

Demographic information

County: Coconino County
Operational peer group (FY 2021): 2
Legislative district(s): 6 and 7
FY 2020 FY 2021
Students attending: 9,080 8,483
Number of schools: 15 15

Less common revenues

FY 2021
Desegregation
2,241,322
Federal impact aid
651,393
Small school adjustment
0
Voter-approved budget overrides
8,846,122
Total less common revenues per pupil
1,384

Analysis results

Summary of risks identified:

The District’s weighted student count (WSC) has declined 6.6 percent since fiscal year (FY) 2018, impacting its student-count-generated revenues and budget limits. As the District did not reduce spending, General Fund expenditures exceeded available revenues (i.e., negative operating margin) in FYs 2019 through 2021, reducing the District’s General Fund balance over 25 percent during FY 2021. Additionally, since FY 2018, the District has spent almost 90 percent of each of its operating and capital budget limit reserves. The District reported using more than $3.8 million from COVID-19 federal relief monies to maintain its operations in FY 2021. The District further reported it plans to spend 21.6 percent, or $3.7 million, of its remaining relief monies to maintain operations. As these are one-time monies, to avoid future financial risk and to ensure it will be able to spend within its available cash resources and budget capacity when these relief monies are no longer available to spend after September 30, 2024, the District should plan how it will adjust its spending in areas where its remaining monies are used. We first notified the District in November 2021 that it is one of the highest-risk districts based on the most recent financial and student count data. We will continue periodic meetings with the District throughout 2022 to discuss the actions it has taken or is evaluating to lessen its financial risk.

District response:

The Flagstaff Unified School District faced several financial challenges in FY 2021, including but not limited to, current year funding, declining enrollment, continued increases to minimum wage, and a distance learning adjustment.

The change in weighted student count is at the forefront of our budget decision making each year because we have been in a period of declining enrollment for several years. The strategy used to manage the budget has been to reduce staff through natural attrition. The initial projections for FY 2021 weighted student count were 10,701, but due to COVID-19 and the distance learning adjustment, the weighted student count was 9,702 on the final budget revision. Currently, the Group A weighted student count for FY 2022 is 10,409.

The operating budget limit reserve was much lower than in previous years. This was due to the distance learning adjustment of $2.4 million that would have been available for carryforward had the modification not been required.

The capital budget limit reserve was reduced due to a large planned renovation project at Mount Elden Middle School in the amount of $675,400. Also, this was the last year of the District Additional Assistance reduction in the amount of $709,327.

The General Fund Operating Margin Ratio for FY 2020 does not take into consideration carryforward balances totaling $17,784,520 amongst all the funds. Also, in FY 2020 the District entered into a capital lease agreement to upgrade equipment for energy conservation in the amount of $3,497,098 but the funding in the amount of $7,729,000 is not included in the calculation.

The General Fund Change in Fund Balance for FY 2021 combines five different funds; Maintenance and Operations, Auxiliary, Impact Aid, Indirect Cost and School Improvement. In the largest of these funds, Maintenance and Operations, a required distance learning adjustment reduction of $2.4 million had a significant impact on the ending fund balance amount for FY 2021. We do not anticipate having to make a similar adjustment for FY 2022.

The Flagstaff Unified School District is looking forward to working through this process with the Arizona Auditor General’s Office.

Change in weighted student count

  • Analysis
  • Data
-3.6% -6.6%
(2-year change) (4-year change)
Substantial decreases began after FY 2020.
Fiscal year Group A WSC
2022 10,409
2021 9,702
2020 10,795
2019 10,897
2018 11,139
Substantial decreases began after FY 2020.
Learn more

Operating budget limit reserve

  • Analysis
  • Data
-85.5% -88.1%
(1-year change) (4-year change)
Fiscal year Balance
2021 $368,375
2020 $2,536,943
2019 $2,595,392
2018 $4,103,079
2017 $3,096,466
Learn more

Capital budget limit reserve

  • Analysis
  • Data
-51.4% -88.3%
(1-year change) (4-year change)
Fiscal year Balance
2021 $443,940
2020 $913,607
2019 $1,178,632
2018 $1,482,297
2017 $3,799,689
Learn more

General fund operating reserve ratio

  • Analysis
  • Data
7.7% 31.0%
FY 2021 unaudited FY 2020 audited
Fiscal year Balance Expenditures
2021 unaudited $5,258,384 $68,315,831
2020 audited $25,506,526 $82,323,123
balance ÷ expenditures = operating reserve ratio
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General fund operating margin ratio

  • Analysis
  • Data
-3.0% -8.2%
FY 2021 unaudited FY 2020 audited
Fiscal year Revenue Expenditures
2021 unaudited $66,302,979 $68,315,831
2020 audited $76,116,406 $82,323,123
(revenue - expenditures) ÷ revenues = operating margin ratio
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General fund change in fund balance

  • Analysis
  • Data
-26.6% 7.6%
FY 2020 to FY 2021 unaudited FY 2019 to FY 2020 audited
Fiscal year Change amount
2020 to 2021 unaudited ($1,905,799)
2019 to 2020 audited $1,792,888
Learn more

Capital monies redirected to operations

  • Analysis
  • Data
0.0% 0.0%
(FY 2022) (5-year average)
Fiscal Year Capital monies Amount redirected
2022 $4,147,953 $0
2021 $3,702,763 $0
2020 $3,014,535 $0
2019 $1,607,188 $0
2018 $562,611 $0
Learn more

Small school budget limit adjustment

  • Analysis
  • Data

N/A - District is too large to be eligible for adjustment.

Fiscal year Adjustment
2022 $0
2021 $0
2020 $0
2019 $0
2018 $0
Learn more

Frozen tax rate

  • Analysis

District's primary property tax rate is not frozen.

Learn more

Receivership

  • Analysis

District is not in receivership.

Learn more
  • County—Our analysis of Arizona Department of Education (ADE)-provided county data. For district boundaries encompassing more than 1 county, the county in which the district office resides is presented.
  • Operational peer group—District groups based on size, type, and location used in our Annual School District Spending Report.
  • Legislative districts—Our analysis of school district and legislative district boundaries.
  • Students attending—Our analysis of ADE-provided, school-district-reported attending ADM counts. ADM numbers are rounded to the nearest whole number.
  • Number of schools—Our analysis of ADE’s attending average daily membership (ADM) reports and School Facilities Board district-wide building reports.
  • Desegregation—Additional local and State monies for districts, which are allowed by law to increase their expenditure budgets and levy monies without voter approval to comply with a court order or administrative agreement with the U.S. Department of Education’s Office for Civil Rights.
  • Federal impact aid—Federal monies provided to districts that have been impacted by the presence of tax-exempt federal lands or the enrollment of students living on federal lands, such as military bases and reservations.
  • Small school adjustment—Additional local and State monies for small districts, which are allowed by law to increase their expenditure budgets and levy monies without voter approval if their student enrollment is within the following prescribed numbers:
    • Grades K-8 with 125 or fewer students.
    • Grades 9-12 with 100 or fewer students.
  • Voter-approved budget overrides—Additional local monies districts may levy through voter-approved increases to district expenditure budgets.

Source:  Desegregation, small school adjustment, and voter-approved budget override amounts - FY 2020 ADE BUDG75 report. Federal Impact Aid amounts - FY 2020 district submitted, unaudited annual financial reports.

School district financial risk analysis December 2020
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