School district financial risk analysis—January 2026
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—Among the highest-risk districts
Joseph City Unified School District (District) is at high risk of not being able to operate within its available budget constraints and cash resources. As shown on the measure cards below, the District’s high-risk status is due to its change in weighted student count (WSC), operating and capital budget limit reserves, General Fund operating margin ratio, and General Fund change in fund balance.
The District’s WSC has consistently declined every year since 2022, with an overall 11.07% decline, including a 2.54% decline in FY 2026, to date, impacting its budget limits and student-count-generated revenues.
The District accumulated a peak operating budget limit reserve balance of $886,728 in FY 2022, but it steadily declined to $20,798 in FY 2025, which represents a single-year decrease of 83.50% and a 4-year decrease of 97.59%. Similarly, the District accumulated a peak capital budget limit reserve of $161,567 in FY 2022 and has been steadily spending the reserve since then. Specifically, the District decreased its reserve to only $22,857 in FY 2025, which represents a 75.93% decline since FY 2021 and 29.28% decline during FY 2025. With its steadily decreasing operating and capital budget limit reserves, the District is limiting the resources available to meet its current and future operating and capital needs.
While the District reduced General Fund spending from FYs 2024 to 2025, General Fund expenditures still exceeded available revenues (i.e., negative operating margin) in FYs 2024 and 2025, reducing the District’s General Fund balance 21.91% and 55.24%, respectively, leaving it with a General Fund reserve balance that would cover less than 1 month of expenditures going into FY 2026.
While the District has not yet exceeded its statutorily prescribed budget limits or cash resources, it must identify and implement appropriate risk-mitigation measures to prevent future overspending and cash deficits. See the District’s action plan below.
The District's management created this downloadable financial risk action plan to describe its current and planned actions to reduce its financial risks. The action plan includes the District's identified root causes for each of its risk areas, its planned mitigating actions, and the estimated financial impact.
The Measures page describes how each measure was calculated, how districts were identified as high risk for each measure, and other measure-related information.
Some districts have access to revenues and budget capacity that are not available to all districts. These revenues may help lessen financial risks for some districts, but desegregation and small school adjustment revenues can contribute risk for other districts, if they result in a district's property tax rate being frozen, which can cause the district to accumulate unfunded budget capacity. Select the information icon to learn more about the revenues presented.
Source: Desegregation, small school adjustment, and voter-approved budget override amounts - FY 2025 Arizona Department of Education BUDG75 report. Federal Impact Aid amounts - FY 2025 district submitted, unaudited annual financial reports.